Zilu Meng (孟子路)

Ph.D. Candidate University of Washington Seattle, WA
Zilu Meng portrait

Climate, Weather, and Data Science

My work combines climate records, physical models, and machine learning to reconstruct past climate and understand El Niño, sea ice, and extreme weather.

About Me
Climate scientist and data explorer

I reconstruct the climate we could not directly observe.

Earth's instrumental record covers only a small part of climate history. I combine natural archives, including tree rings, ice cores, corals, and boreholes, with physical models and modern AI to estimate how the atmosphere, ocean, and sea ice changed before widespread measurements.

This longer view helps us understand how climate patterns vary, why events such as heat waves and cold spells occur, and how unusual recent changes are. My goal is to turn scattered evidence into climate information that is physically consistent, useful, and easier to understand.

01 Read the past

Use natural records and historical observations to recover climate changes across seasons, centuries, and millennia.

02 Connect data with models

Blend incomplete evidence with climate physics through data assimilation, statistical tools, and machine learning.

03 Understand climate risk

Study ENSO, ocean and sea-ice change, atmospheric circulation, and the behavior of extreme heat and cold.

Beyond research: I enjoy building open-source scientific tools, playing video games, reading, and hiking.

Publications
Research output

Climate dynamics across data, models, and time

Peer-reviewed articles and preprints spanning paleoclimate reconstruction, data assimilation, ENSO, and machine-learning Earth system models.

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Year
  1. Ning, L., Liu, J., Liu, Z., Xing, F., Wu, F., Yan, M., Meng, Z., Chen, K., Qin, Y., Sun, W., & Wen, Q. (2025). Progresses and Prospects of Paleoclimate Data Assimilation. SCIENCE CHINA: Earth Science, https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-025-1810-2, [PDF], [PDF in Chinese].
  2. Hua, Z., Karamperidou, C., Meng, Z. (2025). Extratropical Atmospheric Circulation Response to ENSO in Deep Learning Pacific Pacemaker Experiments. arXiv:2511.20899
  3. Meng, Z., Hakim, G. J., Yang, W., & Vecchi, G. A. (2026). Large-Ensemble Simulations Reveal Links Between Atmospheric Blocking Frequency and Sea Surface Temperature Variability. arXiv:2602.05083.
  4. Meng, Z., Hakim, G. J., Yang, W., & Vecchi, G. A. (2026). Deep learning atmospheric models reliably simulate out-of-sample land heat and cold wave frequencies. Geophysical Research Letters, 53(3), e2025GL117990. https://doi.org/10.1029/2025GL117990.
  5. Meng, Z., & Polvani, L. M. (2026). No evidence for significant warming or cooling in Eurasian winter response to major volcanic eruptions over the last millennium.
  6. Meng, Z., Hakim, G. J., & Steig, E. J. (2025). Coupled Seasonal Data Assimilation of Sea Ice, Ocean, and Atmospheric Dynamics over the Last Millennium. Journal of Climate, 38, 7229–7247. https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-25-0048.1. [PDF], [Supplementary Material], [Data], [Code], [Bilibili Video (Chinese)].
  7. Meng, Z., & Hakim, G. J. (2024). Reconstructing the Tropical Pacific Upper Ocean using Online Data Assimilation with a Deep Learning model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 16, e2024MS004422. https://doi.org/10.1029/2024MS004422. [Code], [Poster].
  8. Meng, Z., & Li, T. (2024). Why is the Pacific meridional mode most pronounced in boreal spring? Climate Dynamics, 62(1), 459–471. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-023-06914-4. [Code], [Thesis (Chinese)], [Sacpy Code], [Sacpy Poster].
  9. Zhu, F., Emile-Geay, J., Anchukaitis, K. J., McKay, N. P., Stevenson, S., & Meng, Z. (2023). A pseudoproxy emulation of the PAGES 2k database using a hierarchy of proxy system models. Scientific Data, 10, 624. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-023-02489-1. [CFR Code].
  10. Meng, Z., Hu, Z., Ai, Z., Zhang, Y., & Shan, K. (2021). Research on Planar Double Compound Pendulum Based on RK-8 Algorithm. Journal on Big Data, 3, 11–20. https://doi.org/10.32604/jbd.2021.015208, [Sacpy Code].
Data

LMR Seasonal - Last Millennium Reanalysis with Seasonal Resolution

Dataset: LMR Seasonal Data Portal

"Online" data assimilation (DA) is used to generate a seasonal-resolution reanalysis dataset over the last millennium by combining forecasts from an ocean–atmosphere–sea-ice coupled linear inverse model with climate proxy records. Instrumental verification reveals that this reconstruction achieves the highest correlation skill, while using fewer proxies, in surface temperature reconstructions compared to other paleo-DA products, particularly during boreal winter when proxy data are scarce. Reconstructed ocean and sea-ice variables also have high correlation with instrumental and satellite datasets. Verification against independent proxy records shows that reconstruction skill is robust throughout the last millennium. Analysis of the results reveals that the method effectively captures the seasonal evolution and amplitude of El Niño events, seasonal temperature trends that are consistent with orbital forcing over the last millennium, and polar-amplified cooling in the transition from the Medieval Climate Anomaly to the Little Ice Age.

Key Features:

  • Seasonal resolution paleoclimate reanalysis spanning the last millennium (850-2000 CE)
  • Coupled ocean-atmosphere-sea ice reconstruction using online data assimilation
  • High correlation skill with instrumental data, especially during data-sparse winter months
  • Captures seasonal evolution and amplitude of ENSO events
  • Consistent with orbital forcing patterns over the millennium
  • Documents polar-amplified cooling during Medieval Climate Anomaly to Little Ice Age transition

Related Publication: Meng et al. (2025), Journal of Climate

Education

Academic training in atmosphere, climate, and data

From foundational atmospheric dynamics to data assimilation and paleoclimate reconstruction.

2019 - Present

Ph.D. in Climate and Atmospheric Sciences

University of Washington

Seattle, WA, USA

Ph.D. Candidate
Research Focus

Data assimilation, machine learning, climate dynamics, and paleoclimate.

B.S. in Atmospheric Science

Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology

Nanjing, China

With Honors
Advisor

Prof. Tim Li

Academic Record

GPA: 95/100 Ranked 1st/50

Core Courses

Atmospheric Fluid Dynamics, Atmospheric Physics, and Synoptic Meteorology.

Undergraduate Thesis

Why Is the Pacific Meridional Mode Most Pronounced in Boreal Spring? Paper Thesis (Chinese)

Projects
  1. Last Millennium Seasonal Reanalysis: Developed a seasonal reanalysis dataset for the last millennium using online data assimilation. [Poster, Code]
  2. Deep Learning for Tropical Pacific Reconstruction: Developed a deep learning model coupled with online data assimilation to reconstruct tropical climate fields. [Paper, Poster, GitHub]
  3. AMIP experiments on Deep Learning GCMs: Conducted AMIP experiments on various deep learning GCMs to study climate sensitivity and long-term simulation capabilities.
  4. Sacpy: Built an efficient and user-friendly Python module for Statistical Analysis of Climate data. Widely used in the community. [Docs & GitHub, Poster]
  5. CFR Framework: Contributed to developing CFR, a universal framework for climate field reconstruction. [GitHub]
  6. Deep Learning for ENSO Prediction: Used deep learning (CNNs) and Grad-CAM to study predictability and precursors of El Niño/La Niña events. [Zhihu Article, GitHub]
  7. Prof. John Mike Wallace's Website: Assisted Prof. J. M. Wallace in building his personal academic website. [Website]
Conference Presentations & Talks

Sharing climate research across institutions and communities

Invited seminars, conference talks, and posters on paleoclimate reconstruction, data assimilation, machine learning, and atmospheric dynamics.

18events
since 2023
7 Invited talks 2 Oral presentations 6 Posters 3 Seminars
2026
May 8
Climate Dynamics Seminar, University of Washington Seminar

Seattle, WA, USA

Beyond ECMWF?! Weak-Constraint 4D-Var over the Past 12,000 Years

Title slide for Beyond ECMWF?! Weak-Constraint 4D-Var over the Past 12,000 Years View title slide
Apr 21
Atmospheric Science Forum, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology Invited Talk

Nanjing, China · Meteorology Building, Room 813

Deep Learning Atmospheric Models Reliably Simulate Out-of-Sample Heat and Cold Wave Frequencies

Chinese event poster for the April 21, 2026 NUIST Atmospheric Science Forum View event poster
Jan
Institute of Atmospheric Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences Invited Talk

Beijing, China

Data Assimilation and Atmospheric Modelling over the Last Millennium

Jan
Peking University Earth and Space Sciences Seminar Invited Talk

Beijing, China

Data Assimilation over the Last Millennium

2025
Dec
AGU Fall Meeting Oral Presentation

New Orleans, LA, USA

Coupled Seasonal Data Assimilation over the Last Millennium

Dec
AGU Fall Meeting Poster

New Orleans, LA, USA

Deep Learning Atmospheric Model Reliably Simulates Out-of-Sample Extreme Weather Events

Nov
University of Hawaii at Manoa ATMO Seminar Invited Talk

Honolulu, HI, USA

Coupled Seasonal Data Assimilation over the Last Millennium

Oct
Graduate Climate Conference (GCC) Poster

Boston, MA, USA

Sacpy: A Python Module for Statistical Analysis of Climate Data

Sep
PCC Summer Institute Poster

Seattle, WA, USA

Last Millennium Seasonal Reanalysis

Apr
Paleoclimate Seminar, Ohio State University Invited Talk

Columbus, OH, USA

Ocean, Atmosphere, and Sea Ice Data Assimilation for the Last Millennium

Mar
Climate Dynamics Seminar, Nanjing Normal University Invited Talk

Nanjing, China

Uncovering Insights from the Last Millennium Using Coupled Seasonal Data Assimilation of Sea Ice, Ocean, and Atmospheric Dynamics

Mar
Data Assimilation Seminar, Nanjing University Invited Talk

Nanjing, China

Ocean, Atmosphere, and Sea Ice Data Assimilation for the Last Millennium

Feb
Climate Dynamics Seminar, University of Washington Seminar

Seattle, WA, USA

Uncovering Insights from the Last Millennium Using Coupled Seasonal Data Assimilation

2024
Dec
AGU Fall Meeting Oral Presentation

Washington, D.C., USA

Reconstructing the Tropical Pacific Upper Ocean Using Online Data Assimilation with a Deep Learning Model

Oct
Graduate Climate Conference (GCC) Poster

Seattle, WA, USA

Last Millennium Seasonal Reanalysis

Jun
Nanjing Data Assimilation Workshop Poster

Nanjing, China

Deep Learning for Tropical Pacific Reconstruction

May
PCC Summer Institute Talk, University of Washington Seminar

Seattle, WA, USA

Deep Learning for Data Assimilation

2023
Dec
AGU Fall Meeting Poster

San Francisco, CA, USA

Sacpy: Python Package for Statistical Analysis of Climate

Peer Review Service 18 completed reviews · 12 journals
18
Completed peer reviews

Supporting rigorous, open, and reproducible research across climate, weather, and Earth system science.

Also reviewed for

  • PLOS ONE
  • JGR: Machine Learning and Computation
  • JGR: Atmospheres
  • Atmosphere
  • Radio Science
  • Frontiers in Earth Science